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Oracle (ORCL): Database Giant, Stargate, and DeepSeek

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The Backbone Of Clouds

In the tech industry, any company worth half a trillion dollars is obviously doing something right. When the same company is being put in charge of managing how to deploy half a trillion in cash to boost AI development in the US, it also clearly has solid credentials and influence. Still, many non-tech specialists would be hard-pressed to explain exactly what Oracle, the company discussed here, does.

(ORCL )

This is because Oracle is mostly an IT infrastructure company, working with large corporations to build the tools for their cloud systems, including sales, inventory management, supply chain, human resources, etc.

So even when tens of millions of office workers use an Oracle product, they often do not know the company behind it; they see only the internal software used at their company.

This nevertheless means that Oracle is at the core of almost every IT infrastructure, including cloud systems and most AI deployment.

Oracle Overview

History

Oracle was founded in 1977 by Larry Ellison, Bob Miner, and Ed Oates, selling the early computing systems “relational database management systems (RDBMS).”

In 1983, Oracle Version 3 was released, and it was the first commercially available RDBMS to support SQL, still today the main programming language for handling large databases.

Over the years, Oracle kept growing with the ever-expanding role of IT in businesses, and become a key component of a large portion of the world’s databases. This goes as far as 94% of Fortune 100 companies running on Oracle.

Oracle’s clients include countless large corporations, especially tech companies, R&D-driven companies, and large manufacturing corporations.

Source: Oracle

In 2024, it can fairly be said that Oracle’s business exploded, especially with cloud infrastructure revenues, up 51% year-to-year and 42% growth in customers with an annualized spend above $5M.

Oracle by Numbers

Oracle is a large company with 160,000+ employees, of which 18,000 are in customer support and 29,000 are consulting experts.

It made $53B in revenues in 2024 and has spent $80B in R&D since 2012. Revenues are forecasted to reach >$66B in 2026 and >104B in 2029, with >20% CAGR earning per share growth for the 2024-2029 period.

The company has been steadily raising its dividends in the past decade.

Source: Koyfin

Oracle Infrastructure

Oracle IT infrastructure is built around 2 central strategies to deploy its database management software.

The first one is partnering with almost every existing cloud provider so that Oracle products can easily be deployed to their hardware and servers. This includes Amazon‘s AWS (AMZN ), Microsoft‘s Azure (MSFT ), and Google‘s Cloud (GOOGL ).

Source: Oracle

The second one is keeping up with other tech companies by building its own large-scale cloud infrastructure, with a focus on high geographical diversity to help create quick and localized data storage. The company has moved from just 5 services and 1,000 customers in 2016 to 192 services and 25,000 customers in 2024.

Source: Oracle

An important recent development in that strategy is a multi-cloud partnership with the 3 tech giants that gives the final customers direct access to Oracle Database services running on Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and deployed in AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure data centers.

Source: Oracle

The company is planning to keep expanding its cloud capacities through a large $15B capital expenditure in 2025.

Source: Oracle

Oracle Products

Oracle products and services include a mix of internally developed solutions (especially databases) and acquired products.

Databases

As a pioneer in database management and RDBMS, Oracle had a head start over its competitors and managed to maintain it 40 years later.

This was done through constant development to push forward the industry, including with popular third-party tools, for example, dbForge Studio.

This gives Oracle’s users a whole array of database products for enabling efficient data storage, retrieval, and analysis, for a wide range of different industries and organizations.

Cloud

The cloud segment is for cloud computing and hosting services, in contrast to just licensing software installed on someone else’s cloud (internal, or provided by a tech company).

This includes infrastructure as a service (IaaS) and platform as a service (PaaS), with software as a service included in the other categories.

In 2023, cloud service generated 13% of Oracle’s total revenues. This is a segment that exploded in 2024, with 51% year-to-year growth.

In the long run, this might be a major driver of revenue growth for Oracle, as this is a quickly growing market and the company’s reputation in cloud services is unmatched.

However, it should be noted that would Oracle become a little too successful in this segment, it might endanger some of the recently established multi-cloud partnerships with the 3 biggest and largest providers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google).

Source: Statista

ERP: Netsuite

Acquired by Oracle in 2016, NetSuite is the #1 cloud ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) software designed to integrate into a coherent and unified whole finance, HR, manufacturing, supply chain, sales, and procurement.

Source: NetSuite

Since 2011, 62% of tech companies doing an IPO were a customer of NetSuite. 83% of Forces Cloud 100 list are NetSuite customers.

NetSuite is partnering with many third-party developers to make the ERP a platform on which to develop independent businesses providing extra value, like for example maintenance planning management tools, on top of the core functionalities.

Source: NetSuite

NetSuite is maybe one of the most important software for Oracle, as it works as the articulation point for its other offers in specific enterprise activity. For example, it connects together:

The way all of these services are sold is through a series of modules, which can be individually subscribed to, so that a company interested in adding e-commerce can add the matching NetSuite Commerce module to its pre-existing NetSuite ERP.

NetSuite’s service starts around $1,500/month (Starter Edition) and then goes on to add more functionality and user accounts for larger companies, at an increasing price.

Because usually, a given company will already have a system in place, NetSuite offers custom integration of new companies, with pricing ranging from €9,000 to €230,000 depending on the size of the business, complexity, and modules selected.

Oracle’s largest competition in the ERP segment is German SAP (SAP ), which has a stronger presence in smaller companies and on-site ERP, while Oracle is much more focused on large corporations and cloud-based solutions. Intuit (INTU ) is also a large presence in the cloud-ERP market.

CRM

While CRM (Customer Relation Management) is a part of NetSuite’s offer, the leader of this segment is Salesforce (CRM ), followed by a rather long series of competitors with a larger presence than Oracle.

Source: HG Insights

So this is more often than not a segment where companies use a non-Oracle CRM solution and pay for custom integration into their own ERP, including NetSuite.

Industry-Specific Softwares

While database, cloud, and ERP systems can be adapted for almost any industry, Oracle has made special progress in a few segments, often through the acquisition of smaller competitors or service providers, that are worth mentioning in particular.

Cerner / Oracle Health

With the acquisition of Cerner in 2022, Oracle suddenly grew in the digital health sector.

Today, Oracle is responsible for the world’s largest HER (Electronic Health Record) implementation, serving more than 9.5 million beneficiaries spanning the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region.

It is also the largest revenue cycle management (RCM) leader providing predictive, and actionable health insights.

This activity covers public and private healthcare, life science research, and governmental health organizations.

The company also introduced its AI-powered clinical agent in June 2024. It is able to perform conversation-based note generation (in mere minutes) and the Oracle Clinical Digital Assistant for quicker access to essential data during consultations.

“Practitioners spend upwards of 20-35% of their time on administrative work.

Oracle Clinical Digital Assistant is the most important EHR technology update that I am going to see in my career. Since the 1990s, EHRs have turned physicians into keyboard junkies. This will change that.”

James Little, MD, primary care physician, St. John’s Health

Point Of Sales

This segment was reinforced in 2014 by the acquisition of MICROS Systems in 2014 and FarApp and GloriaFood in 2021.

POS systems can be performed by Oracle Symphony for restaurants, hotels, resorts, casinos, stadiums, arenas, cruise ships, train stations, and retail stores.

This includes solutions for online ordering and delivery, management of tables in real-time, gift and loyalty programs, inventory, employees, menus, and reporting and analytics.

Utilities

With the acquisition in 2020 of LiveData Utilities, Oracle grew its preexisting activity in power and water utilities.

It provides “leading operational technology (OT) middleware solutions and SCADA capabilities to monitor and control utility equipment while reducing the complexity of real-time systems.”

This level of data integration is crucial for the deployment of smart grids, and overall much more connected monitoring equipment and IoT (Internet of Things) systems.

Defense & Intelligence

Oracle provides dedicated solutions for databases in strategic and critical applications. This includes military systems requiring extra security, robustness, and the ability to work in isolation.

And, of course, an extensive 45+ years of experience in dealing with required accreditations and secrecy levels.

The company offers its services at the same price as commercial services, making it a successful bidder in many tenders where defense contractors might be more expensive.

Project Stargate & AI

It is maybe the combination of its massive scale & experience with its in-road in military intelligence systems that have put Oracle at the forefront of the newly announced Trump administration push on AI.

Dubbed “Project Stargate“, this will be a $500B initiative for building data centers, making it, according to the US president, “the largest AI infrastructure project, by far, in history.”

The announcement was made with Trump, Larry Ellison, founder of Oracle, Masayoshi Son of SoftBank, and Sam Altman of OpenAI on the side of the US President.

Source: AP News

Ellison pointed out that the data centers are already under construction, with 10 being built so far. In total, 20 are planned, and the initiative should create 100,000 jobs.

“We just signed an agreement with Meta—for them to use Oracle’s AI Cloud Infrastructure—and collaborate with Oracle on the development of AI Agents based on Meta’s Llama models. The Oracle Cloud trains dozens of specialized AI models and embeds hundreds of AI Agents in cloud applications.”

Larry Ellison, Oracle Chairman and CTO.

This comes in the context of Trump overturning the 2023 order signed by then-President Joe Biden to create safety standards and watermarking of AI-generated content.

To be Clarified

Who Does What?

Details are not there yet about exactly who will pay for what, and how much Oracle is expected to benefit from this project. But this has, anyway, been seen as very good news by the market regarding Oracle’s relevancy in the AI age.

Overall, financing seems to be provided by SoftBank(SFTBY ), OpenAI, Oracle, and MGX.

Arm, Microsoft, NVIDIA (NVDA ), Oracle, and OpenAI are the key initial technology partners.

Is It Realistic?

Project Stargate might not go without any hiccups, at least according to Elon Musk, who quickly criticized it for not being actually financed properly and has a well-known (mutual) dislike of Sam Altman.

“They don’t actually have the money. “SoftBank has well under $10B secured. I have that on good authority,”

Elon Musk

Jonathanは元バイオケミストの研究者で、遺伝子分析と臨床試験に従事していました。現在は、株式アナリストおよびファイナンスライターとして、革新、市場サイクル、地政学に焦点を当てた出版物 'The Eurasian Century" に貢献しています。

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