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Forex Markets Undisturbed by US Unemployment Data




Forex Markets Undisturbed by US Unemployment Data
  • EUR/USD Breaks Back Through Significant Barrier
  • Markets Open Lower As Unemployment Rises
  • Improving PMI also Benefits GBP Market

Millions more filed for unemployment in figures released today for the previous week ending May 16th. This news however did not appear to disrupt the forex trading market at all. Here, the EUR/USD managed to climb back through a significant level at $1.10. Sterling has also been managing to hold ground this week, likely boosted by PMI data moving in the right direction today. Markets still dipped slightly though on this morning’s opening bell.

Euro Moving Back to Stronger Position on USD Weakness

Forex brokers have noted a slight step away from the safe-haven status of the US Dollar this week. The Greenback easing up slightly throughout the week as positive drug trials and similarly supportive comments from Fed Chief Powell on the Reserve’s commitment to backing the American economy have given traders a degree of renewed hope.

This hope has translated to strengthening of the Euro as markets there continue to battle back with improving data which is albeit still at a massively low point. The preliminary PMIs for Eurozone manufacturing show an improvement to 39.5 though it is still worth noting that anything below 50 represents a contraction. The ongoing US-China tensions is one point that can drag the pair back, though traders will be hoping this geopolitical situation does not cause further turmoil.

Markets Dip Slightly but Quickly Recover

Major US markets dipped slightly on the opening bell at Wall Street. This after a week of strong rallying which accompanied a steady overall improvement in market sentiment since the beginning of the week. This early dip may well be attributed to the US unemployment claim figures for the previous week. These continue to rise, and are now at a new all-time peak of more than 38 million claims since early March.

This number includes an increase of 2.4 million on the previous week, which, although sees the number reaching a new record high, is actually a significant slowing of the pace. Still more than 25 million continuing claims are on the books. The hope is that as most states begin their staged reopening, that some of these temporary layoffs can be restored and help further boost the economy.

Sterling Also Holding Strong on Improving Data

An improving UK PMI and move away from Dollar safety has also lent some support to the Pound. PMI numbers rose to a preliminary 28.9 for April, almost double that of the previous month, yet still well inside contraction territory. This points to a slowing of the negative impacts though as the UK also slowly gets back to work amid easing lockdown restrictions.

The forex market has also undoubtedly been supported by comments from the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Wednesday. He commented that the bank were not ruling out a move to negative rates in order to stimulate economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

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Anthony is a financial journalist and business advisor with several years’ experience writing for some of the most well-known sites in the Forex world. A keen trader turned industry writer, he is currently based in Shanghai with a finger on the pulse of Asia’s biggest markets.

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